Live coverage of the 2026 Polymarket insider trading crisis: Van Dyke arraignment, Hanson defense, Torres legislation, and Chainalysis enforcement.
Updated: 2026-05-09 16:09 UTC
Live prediction markets
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?: $92.9M volume · current: April 22 = 0.0% YES
- Iran leadership change by...?: $13.1M volume · current: March 31 = 0.0% YES
Latest from our coverage
- The Master Sergeant and the OPLAN: How a $34,000 Polymarket Account Turned Operation Absolute Resolve Into a National Security Lesson · 2026-05-07
- The Hanson Paradox: Polymarket's $143M Insider Trading Scandal Proves the Economist Who Invented Prediction Markets Right · 2026-05-07
Key players
- Gannon Ken Van Dyke - MSgt, US Army SF (Fort Bragg) - charged Apr 23 2026
- Robin Hanson - Economist, GMU - prediction-markets pioneer
- Rep. Ritchie Torres - D-NY, sponsor of insider-trading bill
- Shayne Coplan - Polymarket founder + CEO
Timeline
- Jan 3, 2026: Operation Absolute Resolve - Maduro raid
- Apr 23, 2026: Van Dyke charged: commodities + wire fraud
- Apr 26, 2026: Hanson Fortune interview defends insider trading
- May 2026: Polymarket-Chainalysis detection partnership