Power dynamics and strategic analysis
Missiles streak across the Red Sea as a Maersk container ship veers sharply, crew scanning radars for Houthi drones. Six months since Yemen's Houthis escalated attacks in solidarity with Gaza, global
Tensions simmer as Egypt and Ethiopia sit down for another round of talks over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, but
Trucks rumbled across the Taftan border into Pakistan on May 7, ending a tense 9-day shutdown sparked by cross-border sk
Diplomats filed into Vienna's staid conference rooms on May 6, but the air crackled with urgency. Iran and the IAEA kick
In the predawn hours of January 3, 2026, a US special forces team stormed a Caracas compound, capturing Venezuelan leade
In the predawn hours of early January 2026, a US Special Forces team stormed Caracas, capturing Venezuelan leader Nicola
Saturday's Daily Brief: Tehran's silence, the Beirut electricity vote, the Riyadh-Doha realignment, and a small story fr
Promised in Iran Watch #1, delivered here. The four payment corridors keeping Hezbollah, the Houthis and the Iraqi milit
Five datapoints from across the region this morning: Iran rhetoric, Lebanon politics, Gulf diplomacy, Egypt currency mov
Sanctions, proxy bandwidth, and a domestic politics that no longer behaves like 2024. The first entry in our Iran Watch
How prediction markets tracked the Iran crisis vs intelligence community estimates — where traders outperformed experts,
Analysis of the collapsed Islamabad talks, Iran's power struggle after Khamenei's death, and what the US naval blockade