Iran Watch

Iran nuclear program, sanctions, and regional influence

7 articles in this category

Iran-IAEA Talks Resume in Vienna: Stakes Revealed

Diplomats filed into Vienna's staid conference rooms on May 6, but the air crackled with urgency. Iran and the IAEA kick

May 7, 2026

Mideast Daily Brief - 26.04.2026

Saturday's Daily Brief: Tehran's silence, the Beirut electricity vote, the Riyadh-Doha realignment, and a small story fr

Apr 25, 2026

Iran Watch #2: The financing rails - how Tehran moves money to its proxies in 2026

Promised in Iran Watch #1, delivered here. The four payment corridors keeping Hezbollah, the Houthis and the Iraqi milit

Apr 25, 2026

Iran Watch #1: Tehran's quiet recalibration in the post-strike spring

Sanctions, proxy bandwidth, and a domestic politics that no longer behaves like 2024. The first entry in our Iran Watch

Apr 25, 2026

Prediction Markets vs Intelligence Estimates: What Traders Got Right About the Iran Crisis

How prediction markets tracked the Iran crisis vs intelligence community estimates — where traders outperformed experts,

Apr 24, 2026

The Fractured Ceasefire: Iran's Leadership Vacuum, the Strait of Hormuz Blockade, and the Architecture of a Post-War Middle East

Analysis of the collapsed Islamabad talks, Iran's power struggle after Khamenei's death, and what the US naval blockade

Apr 24, 2026