Pakistan-Iran Taftan Border Reopens After 9-Day Closure
Trucks rumbled across the Taftan border into Pakistan on May 7, ending a tense 9-day shutdown sparked by cross-border skirmishes in late April. This d…
Articles in
Iran Watch
Iran nuclear program, sanctions, and regional influence
Iran-IAEA Talks Resume in Vienna: Stakes Revealed
Diplomats filed into Vienna's staid conference rooms on May 6, but the air crackled with urgency. Iran and the IAEA kicked off technical talks on nucl…
Mideast Daily Brief - 26.04.2026
Saturday's Daily Brief: Tehran's silence, the Beirut electricity vote, the Riyadh-Doha realignment, and a small story from Erbil that may matter more …
Iran Watch #2: The financing rails - how Tehran moves money to its proxies in 2026
Promised in Iran Watch #1, delivered here. The four payment corridors keeping Hezbollah, the Houthis and the Iraqi militias funded - and what each one…
Iran Watch #1: Tehran's quiet recalibration in the post-strike spring
Sanctions, proxy bandwidth, and a domestic politics that no longer behaves like 2024. The first entry in our Iran Watch series sets the baseline for t…
Prediction Markets vs Intelligence Estimates: What Traders Got Right About the Iran Crisis
How prediction markets tracked the Iran crisis vs intelligence community estimates — where traders outperformed experts, and where they fell short.
The Fractured Ceasefire: Iran's Leadership Vacuum, the Strait of Hormuz Blockade, and the Architecture of a Post-War Middle East
Analysis of the collapsed Islamabad talks, Iran's power struggle after Khamenei's death, and what the US naval blockade means for regional order.